Nigerian voters ignored NOI-NGO’s “opinion polls” that found “Change Direction=0” in favor of President Jonathan in January; picked Buhari! – Tola Adenle

April 3, 2015


3rd of 5 essays that may be from the past, a past we must watch out never is allowed to happen again.


NOIPolls Monthly Jonathan Job Approval – Jan to March 2015

January 2015 >> Approval=55% | Disapproval=31% | Undecided=14% | Change Direction=0 [Incl. 24% “strongly approve & 11% “strongly disapprove”]

February 2015 >> Approval=63% | Disapproval=28% | Undecided=9% | Change Direction=+8 [Incl. 26% “strongly approve” & 13% “strongly disapprove”]

March 2015 >> Approval=52% | Disapproval=32% | Undecided=16% | Change Direction=-11 [Incl. 20% “strongly approve & ]




On the day after the birth of this blog, the following essay was published as –

The politics of “opinion polls” in Nigeria’s elections – Tola Adenle
March 31, 2011


In November [2010], I submitted the following essay in my weekly essay column for THE NATION ON SUNDAY as my reaction and comments on a poll carried out by NOI Polls founded by Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, the World Bank’s Managing Director:
Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, the Doctor; NgoziOkonjoIweala Polls, Nigeria’s burgeoning loans, etcetera.

Although all essays for this space till Boxing Day are at various stages of completion, I could not allow “Presidential Sweepstakes” (December 19) to deprive me of comments on Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala’s, (NOI-Doctor or NOI-D) eponymous NOI-polls (hereafter, NOI-NGO) on the presidential sweepstakes. “The debts are rising again” scheduled for today is abbreviated below to make space for NOI-D and NOI-NGO. Before I go further, “Dr. Okonjo-Iweala left NOI-Polls to become Managing Director at the World Bank in 2007” although she remains the “founder”, according

Bits and pieces of info on me have appeared here over the years. While a full-time college student in Washington in the 70s, I was a full-time secretary at The World Bank (The Bank) but what I did was more of a go-fer who ran errands up and down the main building and around the Pennsylvania Avenue corridor to The Bank’s then growing outposts which have now spread to a size-able chunk of downtown D.C! As I’ve mentioned here often, The Bank, a commissioned agent, can never really “help” Nigeria as often indicated in Nigerian newspapers. Its stated goals may include doing good but it’s no do-gooder.

NOI-D mentioned the need for more loans for Nigeria after her ministerial stint but has lately called on Government to stop accumulating domestic debt which has reportedly reached $26 billion. Nigeria became a poster child of credit-worthiness when the country repaid $36 billion less than five years ago when NOI-D was Finance Minister. Am I implying links between NOI-NGO’s polls on Nigeria and the country’s borrowings? A Social Secretary to Nigeria’s Ambassador to the USA who later became a Business undergrad while running errands at The Bank could never have metamorphosed into even a journeyman economist!

Could Nigeria remain The Bank’s client, for example, if she elects Buhari? NOI-NGO may “collaborate” with America’s Gallup Poll but is that enough to make its findings on Nigeria unassailable – or even credible? I say, not really. For example, how many Nigerians would believe a poll in which“74% replied in the affirmative” that the coming elections would be free and fair? Most may hope and pray so but no high expectations. Or these “findings”:
Corruption – Buhari, 3%; Jonathan; 4%; Ribadu, 11%; Babangida 17%; Atiku, 21%? “Man of integrity” – Babangida, 1%; Saraki, 3%; Buhari, 5%; Ribadu, 5%; Jonathan, 16%? On who “is a good man” – Atiku, 5%; Saraki, 6%; Buhari, 8%; Babangida, 9%; Ribadu, 10%; Jonathan, 12%. Most Nigerians, including those who would not vote for Buhari know that he is the least corrupt, and has the highest level of integrity among the candidates.One more abracadabra: NOI-NGO found 2% believe General Babangida should NOT run because of June 12! What an incredible cruel joke, an agenda-setting poll.

While not doubting NOI-D’s patriotism, her earlier call for new loans after showing us the way out of loan bondage, AND the implied assent to continued foreign loans are not in Nigeria’s interest. Gallup may be American biggie but steering the public is not unheard of. Obama’s blowout of McCain never registered in the big polls in 2008; ditto his earlier trouncing of Hillary. I suspect NOI-NGO; Nigerians should, too.

[FROM: The Nation on Sunday, November 2010.]

Ms. Iweala who had been Finance Minister to President Jonathan’s predecessor, would later become Jonathan’s Finance Minister and Director of the Economy, a position that would see her appear on this blog many times, including an essay that suggested Jonathan drop her from his ministerial list back after his election in 2011. She would earn multiple suggestions for her to resign her position because she seemed not in control and piled up astronomical foreign debts despite her leading the charge for the liquidation of earlier loans. Worse, the economy was in tatters during her watch.

TOLA.  April 3, 2015.


THURSDAY, APRIL 3, 2015.  1:15 a.m. [GMT]


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2 Comments on “Nigerian voters ignored NOI-NGO’s “opinion polls” that found “Change Direction=0” in favor of President Jonathan in January; picked Buhari! – Tola Adenle”

  1. Fatai Bakare Says:

    Ngozi Iweala and others are the sycophants that surrounded President Jonathan. They never told him the truth of things and Jonathan was swept away by their sycophancy by not checking the facts and figures. However, there is this saying in the area I come from in Nigeria which can literally be interpreted to mean, if a man is taught or asked to do evil and he does it, it means he intends to do evil initially. This means that had it been he had not planned to do it before, he could have rejected the offer. There are bad advisers, but as a leader who wants to satisfy his people, he should not have danced with sycophants.



    • emotan77 Says:

      Dear Fatai,

      I concur. Sycophants always abound around Nigerians in power but an adviser cannot turn an upright person into a thief. President Jonathan not only [apparently] listened and devoured what he was told, he refused to send those caught massively looting packing. It took forever for Stella Oduah, the Aviation Minister who reportedly expended millions of dollars on purchasing armored cars and the like, to get the boot. She got a ticket to the Senate by reportedly being the candidate the president and his wife wanted. What kind of law will that woman make?

      And Madueke, the Petroleum Minister, got several mentions on this blog for purported corrupt practices. The woman thumbed her nose at the country’s “lawmakers” – much despised as they also are – when asked to report and explain certain points about NNPC activities. The country’s executive arm (the president) and the judiciary apparently assisted in the rape because Ms. Madueke who had a jet leased for her and her family’s use costing millions of dollars, was able to secure court injunctions that ensured she did not have to answer the Third Arm of government.

      We hope that kind of lawlessness is over.

      Regards & thanks.



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